Showing posts with label wikipedia. Show all posts
Showing posts with label wikipedia. Show all posts

Monday, March 14, 2016

Sanders performing near Obama '08 levels, Clinton out ahead

Democratic Primaries '08 and 2016 in One Graph

Since the New York Times disappeared the 2008 results from their 2016 primary calendar, it has become harder to compare the current nominees' performance to that of 2008, which is particularly interesting on the Democratic side. Fortunately, this data is freely available on wikipedia.


Road to the Democratic Nomination '08 vs '16.
Note that Michigan and Florida didn't count in '08.

Numbers from the "Election Result" column from the wikipedia page were used for '08.
Graphing the '08 and '16 pledged delagate count into the same plot (we've seen in 2008 that superdelegates follow pledged delegates, in spite of what the Clinton campaign says) leads to a few conclusions:
  • Sanders performs near Obama levels at this stage in the primaries.
  • Clinton is well ahead of her '08 performance, largely fueled by delegates that in '08 went to Edwards.
  • Michigan and Florida didn't count in '08 due to their early voting that was disallowed by the DNC, this gives both candidates a bump in 2016 versus '08 results. Without Michigan, Sanders would be near Clinton '08 levels.
  • Both Obama and Clinton tracked very closely up to this stage in the primaries in 2008, with most pledged delegates still up for grabs. In 2016, this means both candidates can still hope to win the nomination.

Friday, April 3, 2009

the worst interview guest ever?

just a therapeutic posting to overcome my disbelief. and so you can see which tv shows i really follow. ;)

  1. U isn't the only naturally occuring element that decays. by far. everything heavier than lead does. (the first one discovered, actually by Marie Curie, was radium.)
  2. "the periodic table goes higher but this is where it ends." huh? how about "the higher ones are man-made"?
  3. an atomic nucleus consists of protons and neutrons (not electrons)
  4. neutrons were shot at atoms not "to see what would happen" but to study their internal structure and to produce heavier elements
  5. "they" were Enrico Fermi, Otto Hahn and Lise Meitner?
  6. all it takes to make things happen in only 10 years is money. how about politicians spend it more wisely?
  7. you can't just pick up these centrifuges from your local diy store, and it takes tons of uranium to get one pound of enriched product
  8. throwing the stuff at someone isn't so far off - contamination from depleted uranium ammunition is a big problem in war-torn countries.
so many issues and missed chances in one eight minute interview.
his book? i'll stick to wikipedia.